West Bromwich Albion vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Bromwich Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
WBA
3 - 1
HUL
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 2
WBA
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 0
WBA
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
WBA
0 - 2
MUD
24%
24%
51%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
WBA
3 - 1
SWA
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
NOR
3 - 0
DER
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
DER
0 - 0
WIG
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2016 |
DER
1 - 0
BIR
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FUL
2 - 2
DER
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
QPR
0 - 1
DER
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |