EFL Cup 1/32
Global 4-5
West Bromwich Albion vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
44.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Bromwich Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
OPA
0 - 1
WBA
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2000 |
DER
1 - 2
WBA
75%
17%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
WBA
1 - 1
BIR
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2000 |
CRE
0 - 1
WBA
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
STO
0 - 0
WBA
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
DER
1 - 1
LEE
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2000 |
DER
1 - 2
WBA
75%
17%
9%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
SUN
2 - 1
DER
55%
25%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
DER
2 - 2
CHA
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
DER
3 - 3
MID
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |