West Bromwich Albion vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Bromwich Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1979 |
WBA
0 - 1
NTT
48%
26%
26%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1979 |
TOT
1 - 0
WBA
34%
27%
39%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1979 |
ASV
0 - 1
WBA
49%
25%
27%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1979 |
WBA
1 - 0
SOU
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
WBA
1 - 0
MUD
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1979 |
DER
0 - 3
MID
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
MUD
0 - 0
DER
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1979 |
WOL
4 - 0
DER
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
DER
2 - 0
ARS
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
IPS
2 - 1
DER
62%
22%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |