West Bromwich Albion vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Bromwich Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1931 |
OPA
0 - 1
WBA
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1931 |
MAC
2 - 5
WBA
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1931 |
WBA
4 - 1
BBU
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1931 |
WBA
1 - 1
MAC
45%
23%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1931 |
SHE
1 - 0
WBA
67%
17%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1931 |
MID
5 - 2
DER
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1931 |
EVE
2 - 1
DER
56%
20%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1931 |
DER
2 - 1
OPA
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1931 |
DER
3 - 0
EVE
63%
18%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1931 |
BBU
3 - 2
DER
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |