FA Cup 1/32
Global 7-3
West Bromwich Albion vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Bromwich Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LUT
2 - 3
WBA
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CHE
3 - 3
WBA
19%
24%
57%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
WBA
1 - 0
REA
58%
24%
19%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
WBA
2 - 0
PNE
49%
25%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 2
WBA
33%
29%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CHE
3 - 3
WBA
19%
24%
57%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
CHE
4 - 1
SCU
78%
16%
7%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
SCU
1 - 2
CHE
15%
21%
64%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 3
COA
68%
19%
14%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CHE
3 - 1
DOR
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |