West Armenia vs Shirak II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
10º
1º
41
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 4
WAR
24%
23%
53%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
WAR
1 - 3
PYU
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
WAR
0 - 0
ARA
60%
22%
19%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
WAR
4 - 2
ARA
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
WAR
7 - 1
MIK
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Shirak II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SHI
2 - 0
MIK
19%
23%
58%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GAN
2 - 1
SHI
77%
16%
7%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 2
BKM
20%
23%
57%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SYU
1 - 2
SHI
63%
21%
17%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
SHI
3 - 2
ALA
65%
18%
16%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |