West Armenia vs Shirak II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
10º
1º
41
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 3
WAR
20%
20%
59%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WAR
1 - 0
PYU
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LAR
0 - 12
WAR
20%
21%
59%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
WAR
0 - 2
ARA
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
WAR
0 - 0
ARA
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Shirak II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 2
MIK
12%
22%
66%
|
31 | 68 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
GAN
2 - 0
SHI
77%
16%
7%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 3
BKM
11%
18%
72%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
SYU
2 - 0
SHI
82%
13%
5%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
SHI
3 - 0
ALA
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |