West Armenia vs Urartu II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
10º
1º
43
2º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
PYU
2 - 1
WAR
27%
23%
51%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
WAR
2 - 0
LAR
80%
14%
7%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
WAR
32%
23%
45%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
5 - 2
WAR
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
MIK
1 - 2
WAR
45%
25%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Urartu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
4 - 1
MIK
23%
23%
54%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PYU
2 - 0
BAN
57%
21%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GAN
0 - 1
BAN
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 1
BKM
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
SYU
3 - 0
BAN
45%
23%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |