West Armenia vs Ararat II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
1º
10º
1º
57
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
WAR
4 - 2
ARA
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
WAR
7 - 1
MIK
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
GAN
0 - 1
WAR
37%
25%
37%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 0
BKM
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SYU
1 - 2
WAR
16%
19%
65%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
4 - 0
MIK
45%
24%
32%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 3
GAN
33%
26%
40%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
BKM
1 - 0
ARA
43%
24%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
ARA
3 - 0
SYU
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 2
ARA
9%
16%
75%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |