West Adelaide vs Gippsland Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
West Adelaide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
WAD
1 - 3
PER
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
CSC
2 - 2
WAD
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1999 |
SOU
1 - 0
WAD
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
WAD
1 - 1
CCO
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
WAD
1 - 2
SYD
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
GIF
2 - 1
CSC
28%
27%
46%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
MEL
2 - 2
GIF
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1999 |
GIF
1 - 4
SOU
23%
26%
52%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
GIF
1 - 1
CCO
65%
22%
14%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
SYD
4 - 0
GIF
67%
20%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |