Wesseling-Urfeld vs Herkenrath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wesseling-Urfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
WES
2 - 2
VIA
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VFL
0 - 1
WES
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
EIL
1 - 0
WES
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
WES
1 - 2
ALT
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
WES
1 - 1
BFR
31%
22%
46%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Herkenrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
HER
0 - 4
ALT
28%
22%
51%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BFR
0 - 0
HER
48%
22%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HER
0 - 0
BER
30%
22%
48%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GEW
1 - 0
HER
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
HER
0 - 2
BSC
31%
23%
47%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |