Werribee City vs North Geelong Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werribee City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
OAK
0 - 1
WEC
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
WEC
2 - 1
NOR
14%
18%
69%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +2 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
AVH
6 - 0
WEC
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
HUM
4 - 0
WEC
81%
13%
7%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
WEC
1 - 3
POR
27%
23%
50%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
North Geelong Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
NGW
3 - 0
DAN
35%
23%
42%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
HEU
3 - 3
NGW
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
POR
3 - 2
NGW
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
OAK
4 - 1
NGW
81%
13%
7%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
NGW
1 - 0
NOR
12%
16%
72%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | +3 |