Werder Bremen vs Viktoria Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1980 |
BRE
2 - 1
KÖL
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1980 |
VIK
1 - 2
BRE
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
BRE
4 - 0
VFB
82%
12%
6%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1980 |
TEN
0 - 1
BRE
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1980 |
BRE
1 - 2
FCB
79%
14%
8%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1980 |
RWL
1 - 3
VIK
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1980 |
VIK
1 - 2
BRE
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
SCH
1 - 2
VIK
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1980 |
VIK
1 - 1
ROT
47%
23%
30%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1980 |
HER
4 - 0
VIK
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |