Werder Bremen vs Tasmania Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
7.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1963 |
BRE
4 - 3
LOH
93%
5%
2%
|
58 | 8 | 50 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
BER
2 - 4
BRE
42%
23%
35%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
BRE
5 - 3
HOL
79%
12%
9%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1963 |
BRE
3 - 1
OSN
87%
9%
4%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
EBT
2 - 3
BRE
51%
22%
27%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1963 |
COH
1 - 3
TAS
34%
23%
43%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1962 |
TAS
1 - 2
UTR
86%
9%
5%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1962 |
UTR
3 - 2
TAS
21%
22%
57%
|
52 | 13 | 39 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 1962 |
EIN
1 - 0
TAS
75%
13%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1961 |
KAI
2 - 1
TAS
41%
23%
37%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | -2 |