DFB Pokal 1/16
Global 10-1
Werder Bremen vs SpVgg Bad Pyrmont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1971 |
BRE
2 - 2
MON
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1971 |
SBP
1 - 4
BRE
15%
18%
67%
|
80 | 12 | 68 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1971 |
HSV
2 - 1
BRE
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1971 |
BRE
4 - 0
ROT
64%
21%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1971 |
BRE
1 - 1
MSV
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SpVgg Bad Pyrmont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1971 |
SBP
1 - 4
BRE
15%
18%
67%
|
12 | 80 | 68 | 0 |