Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
BVB
1 - 0
BRE
31%
25%
44%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
BRE
3 - 0
ARB
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
LEV
2 - 1
BRE
40%
24%
36%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2005 |
S04
2 - 2
BRE
38%
26%
37%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
BRE
0 - 1
HER
65%
20%
16%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2005 |
SCF
1 - 2
KAI
35%
24%
41%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
SCF
2 - 2
BVB
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
ARB
3 - 1
SCF
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
SCF
1 - 3
LEV
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
HER
3 - 1
SCF
65%
21%
15%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |