Qualif. Champions Play Offs Final
Global 5-4
Werder Bremen vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
RWA
0 - 4
BRE
7%
15%
78%
|
89 | 55 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
FUL
5 - 1
BRE
29%
24%
46%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2010 |
SCF
1 - 2
BRE
17%
21%
62%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
BSV
0 - 6
BRE
7%
15%
78%
|
89 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
BRE
0 - 4
BYM
41%
24%
35%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
KOL
2 - 0
SAM
38%
28%
35%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
ESP
0 - 0
SAM
48%
27%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
FCP
2 - 1
SAM
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2010 |
SAM
4 - 0
BOC
88%
9%
3%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
SAM
17 - 0
FCS
86%
11%
3%
|
85 | 38 | 47 | 0 |