Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1963 |
KSC
1 - 1
BRE
46%
23%
31%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1963 |
BRE
4 - 1
EIN
54%
21%
25%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +3 |
| 09 Nov. 1963 |
BRE
2 - 2
HER
89%
8%
3%
|
68 | 34 | 34 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1963 |
S04
2 - 3
BRE
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1963 |
EBT
1 - 1
BRE
45%
25%
31%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1963 |
HER
3 - 2
SAA
45%
22%
34%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1963 |
SAA
1 - 1
PRE
60%
20%
21%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1963 |
MUN
7 - 1
SAA
81%
12%
7%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1963 |
SAA
1 - 3
KSC
61%
19%
21%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1963 |
MSV
3 - 1
SAA
70%
17%
13%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |