Werder Bremen vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
BRE
2 - 2
WOL
60%
21%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
SCF
0 - 6
BRE
17%
21%
63%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 1
BVB
64%
20%
16%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
BRE
2 - 0
AUS
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
FCN
2 - 2
BRE
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
NAV
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
FAT
81%
14%
6%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
LEX
2 - 4
NAC
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
ATH
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
VST
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |