Werder Bremen vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1982 |
BRE
2 - 0
BYM
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
HSV
5 - 0
BRE
78%
14%
9%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
BRE
2 - 1
EIN
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1982 |
KOL
4 - 2
BRE
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1982 |
BRE
3 - 1
FCN
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1982 |
MSV
0 - 2
DAR
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
LEV
2 - 1
MSV
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1982 |
MSV
2 - 3
BYM
18%
23%
59%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
ARB
2 - 0
MSV
59%
22%
18%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
MSV
0 - 1
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |