Werder Bremen vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1964 |
MUN
3 - 1
BRE
62%
18%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1964 |
BRE
2 - 2
S04
67%
18%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
BRE
5 - 1
HER
85%
10%
6%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1964 |
STU
1 - 1
BRE
45%
23%
33%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1964 |
BRE
2 - 0
NEU
71%
16%
14%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1964 |
MSV
2 - 0
FCN
29%
23%
49%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1964 |
BVB
0 - 0
MSV
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1964 |
MSV
1 - 0
HAN
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1964 |
HER
2 - 2
MSV
31%
23%
45%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1964 |
MSV
3 - 3
STU
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |