Europa League 1/64
Global 10-2
Werder Bremen vs Metalurh Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
RTV
1 - 4
BRE
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
BRE
3 - 2
LEV
39%
24%
36%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2002 |
MED
2 - 2
BRE
32%
26%
41%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
COT
0 - 1
BRE
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
BRE
4 - 1
FCN
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Metalurh Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2002 |
SHA
3 - 1
MED
69%
19%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
MED
1 - 1
MEZ
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2002 |
MED
2 - 2
BRE
32%
26%
41%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2002 |
TAV
0 - 2
MED
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
MED
1 - 2
ARS
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |