Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
BRE
2 - 2
TOT
56%
22%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BYM
0 - 0
BRE
51%
23%
26%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
BRE
4 - 2
KOL
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
SAM
3 - 2
BRE
31%
23%
45%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
HOF
4 - 1
BRE
16%
20%
64%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
M05
2 - 1
KAI
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
WOL
3 - 4
M05
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
M05
2 - 0
STU
26%
25%
49%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
BAK
1 - 2
M05
12%
20%
69%
|
79 | 28 | 51 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
M05
2 - 0
MAL
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |