Qualif. Champions Final
Global 3-2
Werder Bremen vs Levski Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1993 |
LEV
2 - 2
BRE
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
BRE
4 - 2
HSV
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
BRE
0 - 2
HSV
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
LSO
2 - 2
BRE
42%
26%
31%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
SCF
0 - 0
BRE
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1993 |
LSO
0 - 4
LSO
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
LSO
5 - 0
SVA
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
LSO
2 - 2
BRE
42%
26%
31%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1993 |
BOT
1 - 0
LSO
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1993 |
LSO
1 - 0
ETA
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |