UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Werder Bremen vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2001 |
BRE
3 - 0
ROS
61%
21%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
KOL
1 - 3
BRE
44%
25%
32%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
BRE
0 - 0
UNT
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
STU
2 - 1
BRE
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
BRE
2 - 3
WOL
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2001 |
GEN
2 - 0
ČEL
61%
20%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2001 |
ČEL
1 - 0
GEN
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
1 - 3
GEN
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
GEN
2 - 2
RAA
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
SDL
1 - 0
GEN
55%
23%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |