Werder Bremen vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1987 |
WAL
1 - 0
BRE
30%
26%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1987 |
BRE
1 - 0
LEV
67%
19%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1987 |
BYM
3 - 2
BRE
72%
17%
12%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1987 |
BRE
4 - 1
EIN
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
RTV
1 - 1
BRE
32%
26%
43%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1987 |
HOM
0 - 2
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1987 |
KAI
5 - 0
HOM
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1987 |
HOM
1 - 1
HSV
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1987 |
FCN
2 - 2
HOM
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1987 |
HOM
2 - 2
BVB
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |