Werder Bremen vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1980 |
PRE
2 - 3
BRE
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1980 |
BRE
3 - 0
USO
79%
14%
8%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1980 |
HAN
5 - 5
BRE
50%
22%
28%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1980 |
ERK
1 - 1
BRE
24%
29%
47%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1980 |
BRE
5 - 1
HOL
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1980 |
HER
3 - 1
SCH
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1980 |
ROT
0 - 4
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1980 |
HER
4 - 1
WUR
85%
10%
5%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1980 |
HER
4 - 0
ISC
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1980 |
HER
6 - 0
PRE
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |