Werder Bremen vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
STU
1 - 1
BRE
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1978 |
BRE
3 - 3
RTV
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1978 |
BRE
3 - 1
EBT
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
MON
4 - 0
BRE
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
BRE
1 - 1
BYM
40%
25%
36%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1978 |
HER
2 - 0
WWO
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
HER
1 - 0
MON
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
DTB
1 - 0
HER
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
BYM
1 - 1
HER
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
HER
1 - 2
ARB
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |