Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 4-2
Werder Bremen vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1991 |
BRE
3 - 0
RTV
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1991 |
SGD
2 - 1
BRE
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
BRE
2 - 1
S04
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1991 |
BRE
5 - 0
FCM
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
F95
0 - 0
BRE
33%
28%
40%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
FTC
4 - 1
LSO
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1991 |
LSO
2 - 3
FTC
59%
21%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1990 |
FTC
0 - 1
BIF
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1990 |
BIF
3 - 0
FTC
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1990 |
FTC
3 - 1
ANT
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |