Qualif. Champions Tercera fase Final
Global 5-3
Werder Bremen vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
RTV
2 - 2
BRE
25%
24%
51%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
EBT
0 - 1
BRE
8%
16%
76%
|
89 | 54 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
BRE
1 - 4
BYM
49%
24%
28%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
WOL
0 - 2
BRE
19%
23%
59%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
BRE
1 - 2
EIN
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
DZG
2 - 1
HNK
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2007 |
DZG
3 - 1
DOM
72%
17%
10%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
INT
0 - 4
DZG
18%
22%
61%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2007 |
DOM
1 - 2
DZG
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
DZG
5 - 1
ZAD
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |