Qualif. Champions Semi-finals
Global 6-3
Werder Bremen vs Dinamo Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
OFC
1 - 1
BRE
30%
28%
42%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1993 |
BRE
1 - 0
BYM
45%
24%
31%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1993 |
FCN
0 - 1
BRE
28%
27%
46%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1993 |
BRE
1 - 5
MSV
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
KAI
2 - 3
BRE
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1993 |
GOR
1 - 4
DTB
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1993 |
LIN
1 - 1
DTB
20%
22%
59%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1993 |
IVE
0 - 2
DTB
30%
25%
45%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1993 |
ALA
1 - 6
DTB
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1993 |
DTB
2 - 1
LIN
90%
7%
3%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |