Europa League 1/32
Global 4-4
Werder Bremen vs Chornomorets Odessa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.7%
Win probability
3.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.3%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.5%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.9%
3.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
RTV
2 - 3
BRE
29%
25%
47%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
BRE
2 - 2
WAL
79%
14%
8%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
CHO
2 - 1
BRE
24%
23%
52%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1985 |
F95
1 - 4
BRE
30%
24%
46%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
BRE
2 - 1
FCN
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Chornomorets Odessa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
CHO
2 - 1
BRE
24%
23%
52%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
LAZ
3 - 0
CHO
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
CHO
1 - 0
LAZ
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |