Werder Bremen vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
67%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
RBL
3 - 0
BRE
65%
20%
16%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BRE
0 - 2
FCU
57%
22%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
BRE
3 - 2
BVB
15%
20%
65%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
AUG
2 - 1
BRE
34%
24%
43%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BRE
0 - 3
HOF
27%
22%
51%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
BVB
2 - 1
PSG
41%
23%
37%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
BVB
4 - 0
EIN
61%
20%
19%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LEV
4 - 3
BVB
25%
22%
53%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
BRE
3 - 2
BVB
15%
20%
65%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BVB
5 - 0
FCU
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | +1 |