Werder Bremen vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1965 |
MSV
2 - 2
BRE
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
BRE
3 - 2
MUN
46%
23%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1965 |
S04
1 - 0
BRE
45%
24%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1965 |
HER
0 - 0
BRE
22%
20%
58%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1965 |
BRE
1 - 0
STU
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1965 |
BVB
2 - 1
FCN
55%
20%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1965 |
BVB
4 - 2
FCN
57%
19%
24%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
BVB
2 - 0
HSV
47%
20%
33%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1965 |
MSV
3 - 2
BVB
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1965 |
BVB
5 - 1
KSC
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |