Werder Bremen vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1963 |
BVB
2 - 0
BRE
58%
19%
23%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1963 |
BRE
1 - 0
TAS
81%
11%
8%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1963 |
BRE
4 - 3
LOH
93%
5%
2%
|
59 | 8 | 51 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
BER
2 - 4
BRE
42%
23%
35%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
BRE
5 - 3
HOL
79%
12%
9%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1963 |
HSV
3 - 0
BVB
85%
9%
6%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1963 |
BVB
2 - 0
BRE
58%
19%
23%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 1963 |
BVB
3 - 1
MUN
58%
19%
24%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 1963 |
BVB
4 - 2
SSF
88%
8%
5%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
WUP
1 - 0
BVB
32%
24%
44%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |