Werder Bremen vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
BVB
1 - 1
BRE
31%
24%
45%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1986 |
BRE
2 - 0
KAI
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
EIN
0 - 2
BRE
26%
24%
50%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
BRE
0 - 0
RTV
80%
13%
8%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
WAL
1 - 1
BRE
31%
25%
45%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
KFC
2 - 1
LEV
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1986 |
LEV
2 - 0
EIN
58%
22%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1986 |
LEV
2 - 1
BVB
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1986 |
KAI
4 - 1
LEV
52%
23%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1986 |
RTV
1 - 1
LEV
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |