Werder Bremen vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
BRE
2 - 1
KOL
34%
24%
42%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1976 |
TEN
2 - 4
BRE
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
BRE
2 - 2
EBT
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
F95
3 - 2
BRE
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1976 |
BRE
2 - 1
EIN
38%
24%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
LEV
2 - 2
BSC
76%
18%
6%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1976 |
ISC
2 - 3
LEV
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1976 |
LEV
0 - 0
WUP
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1976 |
WAB
1 - 0
LEV
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1976 |
LEV
1 - 1
USO
69%
17%
14%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |