Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Werder Bremen vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
OSN
1 - 1
BRE
40%
23%
38%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1962 |
BRE
8 - 1
TBR
83%
11%
7%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
VFR
1 - 7
BRE
36%
23%
42%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
BRE
1 - 1
STP
72%
15%
13%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 1
HSV
40%
23%
37%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
ESP
3 - 0
ATM
32%
25%
43%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
ATM
4 - 2
OSA
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
BET
2 - 1
ATM
41%
24%
35%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
ATM
5 - 1
OVI
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
ATM
3 - 0
ZAR
78%
13%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |