Werder Bremen vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
EIN
2 - 1
BRE
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1979 |
HSV
2 - 2
BRE
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1979 |
BRE
3 - 1
S04
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
BRE
3 - 1
FCN
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1978 |
KAI
4 - 0
BRE
65%
19%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
ARB
0 - 2
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1979 |
BYM
0 - 4
ARB
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 1979 |
ARB
0 - 0
EIN
31%
25%
45%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1978 |
ARB
4 - 3
BVB
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1978 |
HSV
3 - 1
ARB
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |