Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 5-2
Werder Bremen vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
51.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
STP
2 - 3
BRE
65%
18%
17%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
BRE
8 - 0
ALT
89%
8%
4%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 3
BRE
39%
22%
38%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
BRE
4 - 2
HOL
76%
14%
10%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 0
KAI
76%
14%
10%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1961 |
AGF
1 - 4
SLB
34%
23%
43%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1961 |
SLB
3 - 1
AGF
82%
11%
7%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1960 |
FFK
0 - 1
AGF
79%
12%
9%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1960 |
AGF
3 - 0
FFK
38%
22%
40%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1960 |
WAR
1 - 0
AGF
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |