Werder Bremen vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
MUN
1 - 4
BRE
46%
24%
30%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
HSV
1 - 0
BRE
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
BRE
2 - 2
ARB
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
BRE
2 - 0
MON
66%
19%
16%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
S04
1 - 1
BRE
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
MUN
1 - 4
BRE
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
MUN
0 - 1
HAN
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
ROS
1 - 4
MUN
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
RTV
1 - 1
MUN
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
MUN
0 - 3
LEV
38%
24%
38%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |