Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
12º
11º
24
4º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 86 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 75 |
2º
|
94% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 60 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 60 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 58 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 55 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 45 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 39 |
12º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 36 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
14º
|
30% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 33 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
34% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
34.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
4.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
STP
0 - 2
BRE
29%
25%
47%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
RTV
0 - 1
BRE
27%
23%
50%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 0
DAR
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BRE
2 - 2
STU
21%
22%
57%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 0
BRE
56%
22%
21%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FCU
1 - 1
RTV
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
STU
3 - 2
FCU
65%
20%
15%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
FCU
1 - 2
LEV
12%
19%
70%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 0
FCU
44%
27%
30%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
FCU
0 - 0
SCF
33%
26%
41%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |