Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
BRE
3 - 2
BVB
15%
20%
65%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
AUG
2 - 1
BRE
34%
24%
43%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BRE
0 - 3
HOF
27%
22%
51%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
F95
0 - 1
BRE
26%
24%
51%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BRE
3 - 1
HAN
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
VER
0 - 1
FCU
6%
14%
80%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BVB
5 - 0
FCU
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
FCU
2 - 0
AUG
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FCU
1 - 2
STG
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
RBL
3 - 1
FCU
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |