Werder Bremen vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1991 |
BRE
2 - 1
RTV
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1991 |
F95
1 - 2
BRE
36%
27%
37%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1991 |
BRE
1 - 2
KAI
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1991 |
KSC
1 - 1
BRE
31%
28%
41%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1991 |
BRE
0 - 1
STU
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1991 |
KOL
2 - 6
KAI
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1991 |
KSC
1 - 1
KOL
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1991 |
KOL
1 - 6
STU
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1991 |
STP
2 - 0
KOL
26%
29%
45%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1991 |
KOL
1 - 1
LEV
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |