Werder Bremen vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
FCN
2 - 1
BRE
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
BRE
2 - 0
BVB
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
KAI
1 - 1
BRE
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
SAL
0 - 3
BRE
9%
15%
76%
|
80 | 35 | 45 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
BRE
2 - 0
EBT
61%
21%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
KOL
1 - 1
DAR
75%
15%
10%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
LEV
1 - 1
KOL
33%
26%
42%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
KOL
4 - 0
BYM
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
KOL
3 - 3
LEV
73%
17%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
ARB
0 - 2
KOL
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |