Werder Bremen vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1979 |
BRE
1 - 1
F95
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
HER
0 - 2
BRE
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
BRE
0 - 2
STU
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1979 |
RTV
3 - 0
BRE
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1979 |
EBT
1 - 1
BRE
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1979 |
HSV
6 - 0
KOL
54%
23%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
KOL
1 - 1
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
HER
2 - 0
KOL
40%
26%
34%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1979 |
KOL
0 - 1
NTT
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
BYM
5 - 1
KOL
45%
24%
31%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |