Werder Bremen U19 vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
2º
1º
5
4º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
14 | 30 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 26 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 25 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 24 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 19 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
2 | 13 |
6º
|
51% | |
|
|
6º
|
5 | 9 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 7 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
LEI
2 - 2
WBR
67%
17%
16%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
WBR
4 - 0
CZJ
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WBR
3 - 1
EIN
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PAU
2 - 3
WBR
46%
22%
33%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
WBR
4 - 2
MEP
60%
19%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARM
0 - 1
ALA
35%
21%
44%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ARM
2 - 1
WUP
50%
22%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LEV
5 - 0
ARM
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ARM
1 - 3
SCP
17%
20%
63%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ARM
1 - 1
FOR
25%
22%
53%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |