Werder Bremen III vs VfL Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 0
WER
14%
18%
68%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 4
WER
11%
16%
73%
|
47 | 17 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
WER
4 - 0
VFL
85%
10%
5%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BLU
0 - 1
WER
17%
19%
65%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
WER
4 - 0
OSC
71%
17%
13%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
VfL Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
VFL
1 - 2
HAB
47%
22%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
VFL
1 - 3
SGA
15%
18%
68%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
WER
4 - 0
VFL
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
VFL
2 - 2
WEY
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 3
VFL
49%
23%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |