Werder Bremen III vs Union Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
45.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
4º
11º
10º
8
5º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
10 | 70 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 64 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 62 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 50 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 49 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 47 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 46 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 45 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 41 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 35 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 26 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 26 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 16 |
16º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 2
WER
80%
12%
8%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
WER
4 - 2
ATS
89%
7%
4%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
BOR
1 - 1
WER
26%
20%
54%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
WER
1 - 0
SCH
78%
12%
10%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
WER
3 - 1
HAS
94%
4%
1%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 2
HAB
78%
13%
9%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SGA
3 - 2
UNI
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
UNI
5 - 2
VAT
80%
12%
8%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
TKA
2 - 3
UNI
18%
19%
63%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 3
UNI
32%
21%
47%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +2 |