Werder Bremen III vs Union Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
45.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
13º
12º
27
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 73 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 63 |
2º
|
63.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 58 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 55 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 46 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 45 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 43 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 37 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 30 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 28 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
83% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
17% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 2
WER
80%
12%
8%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
WER
4 - 2
ATS
89%
7%
4%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
BOR
1 - 1
WER
26%
20%
54%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
WER
1 - 0
SCH
78%
12%
10%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
WER
3 - 1
HAS
94%
4%
1%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 2
HAB
78%
13%
9%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SGA
3 - 2
UNI
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
UNI
5 - 2
VAT
80%
12%
8%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
TKA
2 - 3
UNI
18%
19%
63%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 3
UNI
32%
21%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |