Werder Bremen III vs Union Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
73.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+100%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
13º
16º
16º
50
5º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LEH
7 - 1
WER
75%
14%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WER
1 - 1
BRI
6%
11%
83%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TSS
3 - 0
WER
83%
11%
6%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
WER
2 - 6
SVH
9%
14%
77%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 0
WER
87%
9%
5%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 2
GEE
27%
20%
53%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
OBE
5 - 2
UNI
74%
14%
11%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 2
SGA
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 4
BWB
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BTN
3 - 3
UNI
26%
22%
53%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |